Quant Interview Glossary

153 terms that come up in quant trading and research interviews. Each one gives the definition, the formula or intuition behind it, and the mistake people make - not a dictionary entry that restates the name at greater length.

Probability · 40

Base Rate

The unconditional prevalence of an event before any specific evidence is taken into account.

Bayes' Theorem

A rule for updating the probability of a hypothesis when new evidence arrives.

Bernoulli Trial

A single experiment with exactly two outcomes, conventionally labelled success and failure.

Binomial Distribution

The number of successes in a fixed number of independent trials with constant success probability.

Brownian Motion

The continuous-time limit of a random walk, with independent normally distributed increments.

Central Limit Theorem

The mean of many independent finite-variance samples is approximately normally distributed.

Combinations

The number of ways to choose k items from n when order does not matter.

Conditional Expectation

The expected value of a random variable given the value of another - itself a random variable.

Conditional Probability

The probability of an event given that another event is known to have occurred.

Cumulative Distribution Function

The probability that a random variable takes a value at or below a given point.

Expected Value

The probability-weighted average of all possible outcomes of a random variable.

Exponential Distribution

The continuous waiting time until the next event in a process with a constant arrival rate.

Gambler's Ruin

The problem of a random walk between zero and a target, and the probability of hitting each first.

Geometric Distribution

The number of trials up to and including the first success in repeated independent attempts.

Inclusion-Exclusion Principle

A method for counting a union of overlapping sets by alternately adding and subtracting intersections.

Independence

Two events are independent when knowing one occurred does not change the probability of the other.

Indicator Variable

A variable equal to 1 when an event occurs and 0 otherwise, whose expectation is the event's probability.

Kelly Criterion

The bet size that maximises the long-run growth rate of a bankroll.

Law of Large Numbers

The sample average converges to the true mean as the number of independent observations grows.

Law of Total Probability

The probability of an event is the sum of its probabilities across a partition of the sample space.

Linearity of Expectation

Expectations of a sum equal the sum of expectations, even when the variables are dependent.

Lognormal Distribution

A distribution whose logarithm is normally distributed, used to model asset prices.

Markov Chain

A process where the next state depends only on the current state, not on the path taken to reach it.

Martingale

A process whose expected next value, given everything so far, equals its current value.

Memorylessness

The property that the time already waited gives no information about the remaining wait.

Mutually Exclusive

Two events that cannot both occur, so their intersection has probability zero.

Normal Distribution

The symmetric bell-shaped distribution that arises from summing many independent contributions.

Order Statistics

The values of a sample arranged in sorted order, such as the minimum, maximum or median.

Permutations

The number of ordered arrangements of items.

Poisson Distribution

The count of events in a fixed interval when they occur independently at a constant average rate.

Prior

The probability assigned to a hypothesis before observing the current evidence.

Probability Density Function

A function whose integral over an interval gives the probability a continuous variable falls in it.

Random Variable

A function mapping outcomes of a random experiment to numbers.

Random Walk

A process that moves by independent random steps, whose typical distance grows with the square root of time.

Risk of Ruin

The probability that a bankroll hits zero before reaching a target, given a betting strategy.

Standard Deviation

The square root of variance, expressing dispersion in the same units as the data.

Stationary Distribution

The long-run distribution over states that a Markov chain settles into and then preserves.

Uniform Distribution

A distribution where every value in an interval is equally likely.

Utility

A function mapping wealth to satisfaction, used to explain why people do not maximise expected value.

Variance

The expected squared deviation from the mean, measuring how spread out a distribution is.

Statistics · 31

Autocorrelation

Correlation of a series with its own lagged values.

Backtest

A simulation of how a strategy would have performed on historical data.

Bias-Variance Trade-off

The decomposition of prediction error into systematic error, sensitivity to the sample, and irreducible noise.

Bootstrapping

Estimating the sampling distribution of a statistic by resampling the observed data with replacement.

Confidence Interval

A range constructed so that, across repeated samples, a stated proportion of such intervals contain the true value.

Correlation

Covariance normalised by both standard deviations, giving a unit-free measure between -1 and 1.

Covariance

A measure of how two variables move together, in the product of their units.

Covariance Matrix

The matrix of pairwise covariances between a set of variables, central to portfolio risk.

Cross-validation

Estimating out-of-sample performance by repeatedly training on part of the data and testing on the rest.

Expected Shortfall

The average loss in the worst outcomes beyond the value-at-risk threshold.

Fat Tails

A distribution with more probability of extreme outcomes than a normal distribution.

Heteroscedasticity

Non-constant error variance across observations, violating a standard regression assumption.

Hypothesis Test

A procedure for deciding whether data is inconsistent with a stated null hypothesis.

Kurtosis

A measure of tail heaviness, with the normal distribution as the reference point at 3.

Linear Regression

Fitting a linear relationship by minimising the sum of squared residuals.

Look-ahead Bias

Using information in a backtest that would not have been available at the time of the decision.

Maximum Likelihood Estimation

Choosing the parameter values that make the observed data most probable.

Multicollinearity

High correlation among predictors, which makes individual regression coefficients unstable.

Multiple Testing Problem

The inflation of false positives that occurs when many hypotheses are tested on the same data.

Overfitting

Fitting noise rather than signal, producing excellent in-sample performance and poor out-of-sample results.

p-value

The probability of observing data at least as extreme as yours, assuming the null hypothesis is true.

R-squared

The proportion of variance in the dependent variable explained by the model.

Regularisation

Penalising model complexity to reduce variance at the cost of some bias.

Sharpe Ratio

Excess return divided by volatility, measuring return per unit of risk.

Skewness

A measure of distributional asymmetry around the mean.

Standard Error

The standard deviation of an estimator, quantifying how much an estimate would vary across samples.

Stationarity

The property that a series' statistical characteristics do not change over time.

Survivorship Bias

Distortion caused by analysing only entities that survived, excluding those that failed.

Unbiased Estimator

An estimator whose expected value equals the true parameter.

Value at Risk

The loss threshold that will not be exceeded with a given probability over a given horizon.

Volatility Clustering

The tendency of large price moves to be followed by large moves, and calm periods by calm periods.

Options & Derivatives · 31

Black-Scholes Model

A closed-form model for European option prices under continuous hedging and constant volatility.

Call Option

A contract giving the right, but not the obligation, to buy an asset at a fixed strike price.

Contango and Backwardation

Descriptions of whether forward prices sit above or below the current spot price.

Convexity

Curvature in the relationship between an instrument's value and an underlying variable.

Cost of Carry

The net cost of holding an asset until a future date, which determines the forward price.

Delta

The rate of change of an option's value with respect to the underlying price.

Delta Hedging

Offsetting an option's directional exposure by holding delta units of the underlying.

Forward Contract

An agreement to buy or sell an asset at a fixed price on a future date.

Futures Contract

An exchange-traded forward that is margined and settled daily.

Gamma

The rate of change of delta with respect to the underlying price - the curvature of the option payoff.

Gamma Scalping

Profiting from a long-gamma position by rehedging, which mechanically buys low and sells high.

Geometric Brownian Motion

The standard model for asset prices, in which log returns follow Brownian motion with drift.

Implied Volatility

The volatility input that makes a pricing model reproduce an option's market price.

Intrinsic Value

The value an option would have if exercised immediately, never below zero.

Ito's Lemma

The chain rule for functions of stochastic processes, with an extra second-order term.

Moneyness

How far an option's strike sits from the current price of the underlying.

Put Option

A contract giving the right, but not the obligation, to sell an asset at a fixed strike price.

Put-Call Parity

A no-arbitrage relationship linking the prices of a European call, put, the underlying and cash.

Realised Volatility

The volatility actually observed in an asset's price over a past period.

Replication

Constructing a portfolio of simpler instruments that reproduces a derivative's payoff in every state.

Rho

The sensitivity of an option's value to a change in interest rates.

Risk-Neutral Pricing

Valuing a derivative as the discounted expected payoff under a probability measure where all assets drift at the risk-free rate.

Straddle

A long call and long put at the same strike and expiry - a direction-neutral bet on movement.

Strike Price

The fixed price at which an option holder may buy or sell the underlying asset.

Synthetic Position

A combination of instruments that replicates the payoff of a different single instrument.

Theta

The rate at which an option loses value as time passes, holding everything else constant.

Vega

The sensitivity of an option's value to a one-point change in implied volatility.

Vertical Spread

Buying one option and selling another of the same type at a different strike.

Volatility

The standard deviation of returns, expressing how much an asset's price fluctuates.

Volatility Drag

The gap between arithmetic and geometric average returns caused by compounding volatility.

Volatility Smile

The pattern of implied volatility varying across strikes, contradicting the constant-volatility assumption.

Trading & Markets · 28

Adverse Selection

The tendency to trade precisely with counterparties who know something you do not.

Arbitrage

A trade that produces a risk-free profit with no net capital at risk.

Basis Risk

The residual risk from hedging with an instrument that does not exactly match the exposure.

Beta

The sensitivity of an asset's returns to the returns of a benchmark.

Bid-Ask Spread

The difference between the highest price buyers will pay and the lowest sellers will accept.

Carry

The return earned from holding a position when nothing changes.

Edge

The expected profit per trade, in the units of the trade.

Efficient Market Hypothesis

The proposition that asset prices already reflect available information.

Hedging

Taking an offsetting position to reduce exposure to a particular risk.

Informed Flow

Order flow from counterparties trading on information the market maker does not have.

Inventory Risk

The price risk a market maker carries while holding a position acquired from providing liquidity.

Latency

The delay between an event occurring and a system responding to it.

Limit Order

An order to trade at a specified price or better, which rests in the book until filled or cancelled.

Liquidity

The ability to trade size quickly without moving the price much.

Margin

Collateral posted to cover potential losses on a leveraged or derivative position.

Market Impact

The adverse price movement caused by executing an order.

Market Maker

A participant who quotes both a bid and an ask, profiting from the spread while managing inventory risk.

Market Order

An order to trade immediately at the best available price.

Mean Reversion

The tendency of a series to return toward a long-run average after deviating from it.

Order Book

The record of resting limit orders at each price level on both sides of a market.

Relative Value

A trade betting that the price relationship between two related instruments will revert.

Short Selling

Selling a borrowed asset with the intention of buying it back later at a lower price.

Skewing a Quote

Shifting both sides of a market in one direction to encourage trades that reduce your position.

Slippage

The difference between the expected execution price and the price actually achieved.

Tick Size

The minimum price increment at which an instrument may be quoted.

TWAP

An execution strategy that spreads an order evenly over a time window.

VWAP

The average price over a period weighted by volume traded at each price.

Winner's Curse

The tendency for the winner of a common-value auction to have overestimated the item's worth.

Mathematics · 23

Big-O Notation

A description of how an algorithm's cost grows with input size, ignoring constants.

Cache Locality

The degree to which a program accesses memory that is already in fast cache.

Cholesky Decomposition

The factorisation of a positive definite matrix into a lower triangular matrix times its transpose.

Eigenvalue and Eigenvector

A vector whose direction is unchanged by a linear transformation, and the factor by which it is scaled.

Floating Point

The binary representation of real numbers, which is approximate and has surprising failure modes.

Generating Function

A formal power series whose coefficients encode a sequence, turning combinatorial problems into algebra.

Geometric Series

A sum where each term is a constant multiple of the previous one.

Harmonic Series

The sum of reciprocals of the integers, which diverges but only logarithmically.

Invariant

A quantity unchanged by the allowed moves of a process, used to prove something is impossible.

Jensen's Inequality

For a convex function, the expected value of the function is at least the function of the expected value.

Lagrange Multipliers

A method for optimising a function subject to equality constraints.

Law of the Unconscious Statistician

The rule for computing the expectation of a function of a random variable without deriving its distribution.

Logarithm

The inverse of exponentiation, converting products into sums.

Modular Arithmetic

Arithmetic where numbers wrap around after reaching a fixed modulus.

Monte Carlo Simulation

Estimating a quantity by averaging over many random simulations.

Newton-Raphson Method

An iterative root-finding method using the derivative to converge quadratically.

Parity

Whether a quantity is odd or even, often preserved by a process and used as an invariant.

Pigeonhole Principle

If more items are placed into fewer containers, at least one container holds more than one item.

Positive Definite Matrix

A symmetric matrix for which x'Ax is positive for every non-zero vector x.

Principal Component Analysis

A rotation of the data into uncorrelated directions ordered by how much variance each explains.

Rank

The number of linearly independent rows or columns of a matrix.

Recursion

Defining a quantity in terms of smaller instances of the same problem.

Taylor Series

An expansion of a function as an infinite sum of its derivatives at a point.