Swapping the regression variables

MediumStatistics~5m

Two datasets XX and YY have Var⁡(X)=10\operatorname{Var}(X) = 10 and Var⁡(Y)=20\operatorname{Var}(Y) = 20. Regressing YY on XX (fitting y=αx+βx xy = \alpha_x + \beta_x\,x) gives slope βx=1\beta_x = 1. If you instead regress XX on YY (fitting x=αy+βy yx = \alpha_y + \beta_y\,y), what slope βy\beta_y do you get?

Show hints (2)+
  1. The OLS slope equals covariance divided by the variance of the predictor. Use βx\beta_x to back out Cov⁡(X,Y)\operatorname{Cov}(X,Y).
  2. Then divide that covariance by Var⁡(Y)\operatorname{Var}(Y) - not by βx\beta_x. (Sanity check: βxβy=ρ2\beta_x\beta_y = \rho^2.)

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