Matching chips, two draws

A bag holds 3 red and 2 blue chips. You draw 2 chips without replacement. If the two chips are the same colour you win $10; if they are different colours you lose $3. What is the fair value of the game (the expected profit, in dollars, to four decimals)?

Show hints (2)+
  1. Count matching pairs: C(3,2)+C(2,2)=4 out of C(5,2)=10, so P(match)=0.4 (not 1/2).
  2. Fair value = 0.4·(+10) + 0.6·(−3).

Answer

Reveal answer →

2.2 (± 0.001)

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Asked at: Game-Based Aptitude, Options Market-Making

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