A coin that branches into a die

You play this game: flip a fair coin. On heads you are paid $10 and stop. On tails you instead roll a fair six-sided die and are paid twice the number it shows. What is the fair value of the game (in dollars, to two decimals)?

Show hints (2)+
  1. Value the die branch first: twice a fair die's mean.
  2. Then weight the two branches by 1/2 each.

Answer

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8.5

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Asked at: Probability & Market-Making, Data-Driven Research

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