Draws until a smaller value

You draw independent U[0,1]U[0,1] numbers until one is smaller than its immediate predecessor. What is the expected number of draws? (to 3 decimals)

Show hints (2)+
  1. Use E[N] = Σ P(N>k).
  2. P(first k strictly increasing) = 1/k!.

Answer

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2.718 (± 0.01)

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