A two-step transition

A Markov chain has transition matrix (0.90.10.50.5)\begin{pmatrix}0.9&0.1\\0.5&0.5\end{pmatrix} (states A, B). Starting in A, what is the probability of being in A after 2 steps? Give a decimal to two places.

Show hints (2)+
  1. This is the (A,A) entry of P2P^2.
  2. Sum over the intermediate state.

Answer

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0.86

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