A coin thick enough to land on its side

Model a coin as a cylinder of radius 11 and thickness tt. Idealize a fair flip as the coin's orientation being uniform over all directions (equivalently, its axis points uniformly on a sphere). What thickness tt makes the probability of landing on its side exactly 13\tfrac13?

Show hints (2)+
  1. Inscribe the coin in a sphere of radius R=1+(t/2)2R=\sqrt{1+(t/2)^2}; by Archimedes, P(side)=t/(2R)\mathbb{P}(\text{side})=t/(2R).
  2. Set t/(2R)=1/3t/(2R)=1/3, i.e. 2R=3t2R=3t, and solve with R2=1+(t/2)2R^2=1+(t/2)^2.

Answer

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0.7071 (± 0.001)

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Asked at: Jane Street, Optiver

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