A small sub-triangle

A point PP is chosen uniformly at random inside triangle ABC\triangle ABC. It splits the triangle into three smaller triangles ABP\triangle ABP, BCP\triangle BCP, CAP\triangle CAP. What is the probability that at least one of these three has area at most 14\tfrac14 of the area of ABC\triangle ABC?

Show hints (2)+
  1. The three sub-triangle area-fractions are PP's barycentric coordinates - uniform on the simplex, like three stick pieces.
  2. Complement: all three exceed 1/41/4, probability (1314)2=116(1-3\cdot\tfrac14)^2=\tfrac1{16}.

Answer

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0.9375

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Asked at: Jane Street, Optiver

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