Smallest possible MGF value

A random variable XX has moment generating function M(θ)=E[eθX]M(\theta) = \mathbb{E}[e^{\theta X}], and M(1)=7M(1) = 7. Over all such XX, what is the smallest possible value of M(4)M(4)?

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  1. log⁡M(θ)\log M(\theta) is convex, and log⁡M(0)=0\log M(0)=0, log⁡M(1)=log⁡7\log M(1)=\log 7.
  2. Extrapolate the chord to θ=4\theta=4: log⁡M(4)≥4log⁡7\log M(4)\ge 4\log 7, i.e. M(4)≥74M(4)\ge 7^4 (a constant XX achieves it).

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