Rolling until you match the first roll
You roll a fair six-sided die once and remember the value. You then keep rolling the die until you get a value at least as large as that first roll. Let be the number of rolls after the first. What is ?
Show hints (2)+
- Condition on the first roll . On later rolls, what is the probability of landing ?
- Given that success probability, the wait is geometric with mean . Average over .
Answer
Reveal answer →Final answer
2.45 (± 0.01)
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Asked at: Optiver, Akuna Capital