Overshoot past one

Draw X1,X2,X_1, X_2, \dots independently from Uniform(0,1)\text{Uniform}(0,1) and let N=min{n:X1++Xn>1}N = \min\{\,n : X_1 + \dots + X_n > 1\,\}, with SN=X1++XNS_N = X_1 + \dots + X_N the sum at that moment. The value E[SN]\mathbb{E}[S_N] can be written as cec\,e for a rational cc. Find cc.

Show hints (2)+
  1. First recall E[N]=e\mathbb{E}[N]=e (since P(N>n)=1/n!\mathbb{P}(N>n)=1/n!).
  2. Apply Wald's identity: E[SN]=E[N]E[X1]\mathbb{E}[S_N]=\mathbb{E}[N]\,\mathbb{E}[X_1] with E[X1]=1/2\mathbb{E}[X_1]=1/2.

Answer

Reveal answer →

0.5

Want the full step-by-step worked solution? It's part of Premium - along with a worked solution for every question in the bank.

Asked at: Jane Street, Two Sigma

Related questions