Gambler's ruin (unfair)

Player M has $1 and player N has $2. Each round the winner takes $1 from the loser; M wins each round with probability 2/32/3. They play until someone is broke. What is the probability M ends up with all $3? (to 3 decimals)

Show hints (2)+
  1. Set up absorption equations on states {0,1,2,3}.
  2. Solve the two linear equations for a1a_1.

Answer

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0.5714 (± 0.005)

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