Expected largest of ten balls

A box contains 2020 balls labelled 11 through 2020. You draw 1010 of them (without replacement). What is the expected value of the largest label among your 1010 balls?

Show hints (2)+
  1. The 1010 picks split {1,,20}\{1,\dots,20\} into 1111 symmetric gaps.
  2. E[max]=k(n+1)k+1=102111\mathbb{E}[\max] = \tfrac{k(n+1)}{k+1} = \tfrac{10\cdot 21}{11}.

Answer

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19.0909 (± 0.01)

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Asked at: Jane Street, Two Sigma

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