Expected chord intersections

Ten chords of a circle are drawn, each defined by two independent uniformly random points on the circle (all 2020 endpoints distinct). What is the expected number of intersection points among the chords (inside the circle)?

Show hints (2)+
  1. Two chords cross iff their 44 endpoints alternate around the circle - probability 1/31/3 for a random pair.
  2. Use linearity of expectation over (102)\binom{10}{2} pairs.

Answer

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15

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Asked at: Jane Street, Optiver

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