The drunk passenger

100 passengers board in order for 100 assigned seats. Passenger 1 lost their boarding pass and sits in a uniformly random seat. Each later passenger takes their own seat if it's free, otherwise a random free seat. What is the probability that passenger 100 ends up in their own seat?

Show hints (2)+
  1. Only two seats ultimately matter: seat 1 and seat 100.
  2. Argue by symmetry which of them is taken first.

Answer

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0.5

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Asked at: Jane Street, Citadel, Two Sigma

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